R1.04 · Confidence-gated analysis

Athlete-to-Course Gap Analysis

A deterministic engineering comparison between the synthetic Athlete State Snapshot and the bound Athens 2026 Course Analysis. Scores are normalization indexes, not medical or physiological diagnoses, and no workout prescription is authorized in R1.04.

Prototype Confidence GatedConfidence: LOW

Known gaps4Dimensions with a demand and a scored athlete proxy

Evidence gaps2Dimensions deliberately left unscored

High gaps2Engineering priority state only

Training prescriptionBlockedBlocked R1 04 Scope

Known dimensions

Demand vs athlete proxy

DimensionCourse demandAthleteGapStateConfidence

Aerobic Endurance95.070.025.0HighMEDIUM

Long Run Readiness90.068.621.4HighMEDIUM

Muscular Endurance86.169.117.0ModerateLOW

Training Consistency85.080.05.0LowLOW

Gap score = course-demand index minus athlete-capability index. The indexes are transparent R1.04 engineering normalizations and are not validated physiological thresholds.

Do not fabricate

Evidence gaps

Evidence required

Uphill CapabilityCourse demand index: 72.8No validated terrain-specific activity or uphill performance evidence exists in the MANUAL_BASELINE snapshot.

Downhill ToleranceCourse demand index: 55.4No validated downhill-specific activity evidence exists in the MANUAL_BASELINE snapshot.

R1.04 refuses to invent uphill or downhill capability from weekly distance or a 10K time. Terrain-specific athlete evidence is required before those capabilities can be scored.

Current interpretation

What the prototype can say — and what it cannot

Dominant known gapsAerobic Endurance, Long Run Readiness, Muscular Endurance

Critical evidence gapsUphill Capability, Downhill Tolerance

Target-time feasibilityNot Evaluated R1 04

Real-athlete useBlocked

Immutable lineage

Gap Analysis Run G01

Gap run: gap-analysis-demo-athens-g01-r1.04
Athlete snapshot: athlete-snapshot-demo-s01-r1.03
Athlete analysis: athlete-analysis-demo-a01-r1.03
Course analysis: analysis-gr-athens-authentic-marathon-2026-c01-g01-a01-r1.02
Processor: athlete-course-gap-r1.04-v1
Output SHA-256: 2f4b72833e16d563dd7e516a9d044532f6eb6ccde1d0b0e7cbeca4bb4dab7efb

Authorization boundary

No training plan yet

Engineering gap analysis: authorized for the synthetic fixture.
Real-athlete processing: blocked.
Training-plan generation: blocked.
Public metric claims and public beta: blocked.