R1.06 · Course-conditioned Race Strategy v0

Race Strategy v0

A goal-anchored engineering simulation that redistributes pace across the Athens course while preserving the synthetic 3:45 goal. The numbers below are deliberately blocked from real-athlete prescription because goal feasibility, terrain capability and full-resolution course evidence are not yet validated.

Simulation onlyConfidence: LOW

User goal3:45:00Intent, not certified feasibility

Nominal pace5:20/kmFlat arithmetic reference only

Course segments18From Athens A01

Numeric prescriptionBlockedEngineering simulation only

Execution principle

Effort first. Pace follows terrain.

Hold effort across hills, avoid banking time early, and treat downhill speed as controlled rather than free pace.

Do not bank time in the opening kilometres.
Allow pace loss on climbs rather than forcing flat-course pace.
Use descents as controlled running, not as permission to overstride.
Unknown uphill/downhill athlete capability prevents personalized terrain deltas.

Segment simulation

Athens changes the pace shape

Not a race prescription

SegmentTerrainGradeSim pacePassageIntent

0 km–9.6 kmFlat-0.2%5:17/km0:50:43Controlled Start No Banking

9.6 km–11.8 kmUphill+1.3%5:29/km1:02:46Allow Pace Loss Hold Effort

11.8 km–13.8 kmFlat+0.5%5:17/km1:13:20Steady Effort

13.8 km–14.9 kmUphill+0.9%5:29/km1:19:22Allow Pace Loss Hold Effort

14.9 km–16.3 kmFlat-0.2%5:17/km1:26:46Steady Effort

16.3 km–17.6 kmDownhill-1.2%5:09/km1:33:27Controlled Descent No Overstride

17.6 km–18.1 kmFlat0.0%5:17/km1:36:06Steady Effort

18.1 km–19.4 kmUphill+1.1%5:29/km1:43:13Allow Pace Loss Hold Effort

19.4 km–21 kmStrong Uphill+2.2%5:41/km1:52:19Conserve On Strong Climb

21 km–23.2 kmUphill+1.3%5:29/km2:04:23Allow Pace Loss Hold Effort

23.2 km–24.5 kmStrong Uphill+2.2%5:41/km2:11:46Conserve On Strong Climb

24.5 km–27 kmUphill+1.6%5:29/km2:25:28Allow Pace Loss Hold Effort

27 km–28 kmFlat+0.7%5:17/km2:30:45Steady Effort

28 km–30.6 kmUphill+1.2%5:29/km2:45:00Allow Pace Loss Hold Effort

30.6 km–31 kmFlat-0.0%5:17/km2:47:07Steady Effort

31 km–34.6 kmDownhill-1.0%5:09/km3:05:39Late Race Controlled Descent

34.6 km–36.4 kmFlat-0.6%5:17/km3:15:10Steady Effort

36.4 km–42.2 kmDownhill-1.5%5:09/km3:45:00Late Race Controlled Descent

R1.06 uses transparent zero-sum engineering coefficients to demonstrate course-aware redistribution while preserving the user-entered goal time. These coefficients are not claimed to be physiologically validated.

Terrain policy

Transparent coefficients, never hidden AI

Strong Downhill-12 s/km

Downhill-8 s/km

Flat0 s/km

Uphill+12 s/km

Strong Uphill+24 s/km

The weighted coefficients are normalized back to the same 3:45:00 simulation total, so course terrain changes the shape, not the user-entered goal itself.

Immutable lineage

Race Strategy Generation S01

Generation run: race-strategy-generation-demo-athens-s01-r1.06
Athlete snapshot: athlete-snapshot-demo-s01-r1.03
Gap analysis: gap-analysis-demo-athens-g01-r1.04
Course analysis: analysis-gr-athens-authentic-marathon-2026-c01-g01-a01-r1.02
Training plan: training-plan-demo-athens-p01-r1.05
Policy: r1.06-course-conditioned-zero-sum-demo-v1
Output SHA-256: 19731b5ebedcb4798aecfa0539cbba4fc3e6b49dd4402dda48e3ede7ab1ff1bb